Does the situation relax or not?

The current half -deductor bottleneck is now in its fourth year. The crisis of Corona pushed him massively, but the first signs of a deficiency were in advance. This is because the current half -deductor bottleneck A variety of reasons and factors It is due. Both for the Germans and for the global economy, the current situation hosts a significant danger of danger. This article introduces the main causes of the bottlenecking neck to semiconductor and gives a vision of how it could go on in the future.

These risks are exhausted from a semi -dductor bottleneck

Without high quality semiconductors, nothing works in many industry branches. For example, the automotive industry strongly depends on the chips so that electronics works in its vehicles. Semiconductors are also installed in electronic devices such as smartphones and laptops. Be without them Different technologies and functions not available. There is also a strong question in the area of ​​renewable energies. Many technologies such as photovoltaic systems and inverters urgently depend on semiconductors. They are also required for various medical technologies and methods in particular imaging.

Due to these different areas of application of semiconductors, the demand is extremely high. On the one hand, the current bottleneck leads to Less devices are produced It can and are available. Especially for private purchases or photovoltaic systems for their home, the right solutions are not always available. In addition, the prices for semiconductors and devices in which they are installed increase massively. If the situation is further exacerbated, further deficiencies and price increases can be provided.

The result would be mainly economic losses. Industrialized countries such as Germany in particular are based on working business processes and high quality materials. A continuous semiconductor bottleneck would be like this Production of losses and a decline in the economy move. In addition, many people no longer had the technologies and solutions available to which they have become accustomed to professionally and privately.

The crown crisis has tightened the bottleneck of the semiconductor

One of the main reasons why the deficiency of chip is so acute and persistent is the crisis of the crown. This led to significant upheavals in the economy, of which the production of semiconductors has not been spared. Among other things, during the pandemic, it was not possible or limited only to win the raw materials necessary for semiconductors. So it arrived To a huge decline of productionthat could not be managed. The processes are now running, so a return to normal in the coming months is not predictable.

Furthermore, as part of the crown crisis Many logistical chains have collapsed I am. So it was no longer possible or only very limited to bringing clients to semiconductors. They had to wait a long time before having the required materials and could continue with their business processes. The logistics industry is also gradually recovering, so it will take some time for all deliveries to work without hitches.

The dispute between the United States and China is feeding the shortage

However, it would be too short to attribute the bottleneck to the semiconductor exclusively to the Pandemia di Corona and its effects. Even before the outbreak of Covid-19, the first bottlenecks were found in semiconductors. These are in particular Economic tensions Between the United States and China. Both accuse each other of hindering their economy, for fear that the other can maintain or conquer predominance in certain segments.

However, the defects in the Trump government have already been determined in commercial relations with China, but Joe Biden and Democrats have not withdrawn many restrictions from the previous government. Until today, the United States see China as the largest economic competitor and fight for Customs and other measures Therefore, do not miss your position on the world market. China stops and adopts economic measures against the United States. All this leads to tensions that rather promote the bottleneck with a semiconductor rather than stop.

The dispute on Taiwan hosts further risks

The current Taiwan crisis also hosts the potential, a real danger for trade with semiconductors in particular and the global economy in general become. China sees Taiwan as part of its territory and asks for respect for the principle of a belt of all commercial partners. There is the risk of military escalation if China should try to take Taiwan because the United States have guaranteed its solidarity in the state of the island.

Taiwan is one of the most important manufacturers of high quality semiconductors for different areas of application. A war would do it to enormous theft with burglary in production lead and therefore would have consequences for the whole world. In addition, the logistics, with the help of which semiconductors are brought to customers, would collapse again. As a result, there would be even less available semiconductors and the crisis would make themselves further.

In particular, new types of semiconductors are produced

Another problem is the goal that companies have set, semiconductors produce. These currently focus strongly on the production of Types of half conductor of the new generation. In the automotive industry, which depends in particular from Germany, many older models are still needed. This means that additional production skills bring only relief to other segments. It is not yet clear whether and when the demand for older semiconductors can be satisfied.

When will the bottleneck neck end up in semiconductor?

At the moment, it is not possible to evaluate when the current half -deductor bottleneck will end. On the one hand, this is why that the production of semiconductors is extremely complicated. Therefore, it is not easily possible to stop production processes and start again. A lot of time is needed for this. At the same time, the demand for semiconductors increases, which increases prices on one side and on the other it leads to strong competition between individual companies and buyers.

In addition, the global economic situation is currently difficult to evaluate. Many factors such as the struggle between the United States and China can be found in a very short time Develops in a new direction – positive and negative. With today’s information, you cannot finally say how the semiconductor bottle neck can be resolved and when enough technologies are available.

Conclusion

Companies still a reasonable solution to be able to face the semiconductor bottleneck. A little bit of bite in acid apple and pay significantly higher pricesOthers try to open new chains and suppliers. However, it can be said with a high probability that the semiconductor bottleneck will continue in the coming months and take the global economy.